• ADVISORY: TS Franklin 8A

    From Mike Powell@454:1/105 to All on Tuesday, August 22, 2023 15:37:00
    241
    WTNT33 KNHC 221735
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082023
    200 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2023

    ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING FRANKLIN...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...15.5N 71.4W
    ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    The government of the Dominican Republic has upgraded the Tropical
    Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for the entire northern and
    eastern coast from the Haiti border eastward and southward to Isla
    Saona.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Dominican Republic entire south coast from Haiti border eastward
    to Cabo Engano
    * Dominican Republic entire north coast form Haiti border eastward
    to Cabo Engano
    * Haiti entire south coast from Anse d'Hainault eastward to the
    Dominican Republic border

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * Turks and Caicos Islands

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

    Interests elsewhere in Haiti and the Dominican Republic should
    monitor the progress of this system.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was
    located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 71.4 West. Satellite
    images indicate that a new center may be forming farther west, and
    a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is current investigating
    Franklin's wind field to determine if that is the case. Franklin
    is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward
    the north is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the
    northeast by Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of
    Franklin is expected to approach the southern coast of Hispaniola
    today, cross the island on Wednesday, and then emerge over the
    southwestern Atlantic waters late Wednesday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before Franklin
    reaches Hispaniola. Some weakening is likely while the storm moves
    across Hispaniola.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Franklin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC
    and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.

    RAINFALL: Franklin is expected to produce additional rainfall
    amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with storm total maxima of 6 inches,
    across Puerto Rico and Vieques into Thursday. Across portions of
    Hispaniola, rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher
    amounts up to 15 inches, are expected through Wednesday.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin within the
    warning area tonight and continue into Wednesday, and are possible
    within the watch area in Hispaniola beginning Wednesday. Tropical
    storm conditions are possible in the Turks and Caicos Islands late
    Wednesday and Wednesday night.

    STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1
    to 3 feet above ground level along the immediate coast near and to
    the east of where the center makes landfall in Hispaniola.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg


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