• TS Philippe expected to d

    From Mike Powell@454:1/105 to All on Thursday, September 28, 2023 08:54:00
    497
    WTNT32 KNHC 280900
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Philippe Advisory Number 20
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172023
    500 AM AST Thu Sep 28 2023

    ...PHILIPPE EXPECTED TO DRIFT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
    ...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS, VIRGIN ISLANDS, AND
    PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...18.8N 54.6W
    ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

    Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British
    Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this
    system.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was
    located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 54.6 West. Philippe is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow west-northwestward to westward motion is forecast during the next
    day or so, followed by a slower westward to west-southwestward
    motion by this weekend.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so,
    with slow weakening forecast this weekend.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL: Philippe may produce 1 to 3 inches of rain across the
    northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and portions of Puerto
    Rico this weekend and into early next week. Heavy rainfall from
    Philippe may produce isolated urban and small stream flooding
    impacts.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci


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